Karnataka in the trap
Mamtha Sharma
From Bengaluru
H D Kumaraswamy
When JDS leader
and current chief
minister, H D
Kumaraswamy,
promised in the
party's manifesto
for the May 2018 assembly elections
that he would waive farmers' loans
on coming to power, little did he
realise that the time to walk the talk
would come sooner than expected.
After becoming chief minister,
albeit of a coalition government, he
suddenly found that it was easier to
make commitments than to fulfil
them. Witness ,therefore, the
manner in which he was tying
himself in knots while seeking ,
initiallly, to bluster his way out of the
commitment he had made to the
farmers in the party's manifesto.
His conflicting statements since
then on the crucial issue did make
matters worse for him, till Congress
president Rahul Gandhi provided
him the necessary support . It was
important, considering that it was
the national party which had
propped him up as the chief
minister of the JDS-Congress
combine in the state , in the process
pulling the carpet from under the
feet of a bewildered BJP .
Rahul Gandhi
And, now that Kumaraswamy has
bitten the bullet , he finds that there
are more detractors within and
outside the coalition on the crucial
issue than he bargained for. The
estimated dues of the farmers stand
at about Rs 1.14 lakh crore while
Kumaraswamy had agreed earlier to
waive up to Rs 53,000 crore.
Significantly, Karnataka's annual budget hovers around Rs 2 lakh
crore.
Till recently , nobody had any clue
as to where the funds to provide the
benefit would come from as the
coalition government, at least, had
not provided for it in its maiden
budget. At a conservative estimate
the state would need to spend
Rs 44 ,000 crore for now to meet its
first instalment of the waiver
promise.
All that the chief minister kept
parroting, when confronted with this
all important question is: "Wait and
see. I know my maths." He has,
raised the taxes on petrol and diesel
to partially meet the challenge ,in the
process leading to more criticism
than he can handle. Witness,
therefore, his tearful, even if public
,recount of his hurt over the issue.
Vote bank politics
Even though such emotional
outbursts run in the DNA of the
family, as one has often witnessed
his father Deve Gowda,doing the
same ,and quite often, in the past, it
did not behove a chief minister to
display his failure in handling the all
important post . No wonder he was
rebuked by none other than the
leaders of the coalition party
themselves .
Karnataka, is not alone in
providing such benefits to woo the
farmers as its counterparts in
Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh and
Telengana too were bitten by the
bug earlier. These efforts were,
aimed more at vote bank politics
than any serious attempt to help the indebted, constrained farming
community.
Local politicians narrated
horrible stories of how
some farmers had
committed suicide ,unable
to bear the
embarrassment and
humiliation from the
money lenders who would
come and shout outside
the defaulters' premises. In
many cases, they would be
ruthless , even asking the
farmers to leave their
female relatives in their
custody to make good the
default.
In fact, going by available figures ,
about Rs 200,000 odd crores worth
of loans have been waived by
different states in recent years. And,
with Rajasthan Mizoram,Chattisgarh
and Madhya Pradesh also going to
polls this year, it is no secret that
political parties will make similar
promises in the run-up to the
elections.
In Karnataka's case, waiver of
farm loans has virtually become a
normal affair considering that the
past governments under BJP- JDS
coalition and the Congress have
found it prudent to announce such
benefits for the farmers. It is another
matter that these concessions rarely
help the needy community,especially those with
small holdings. Let us not forget,
majority of the farmers have only
small holdings and it is the large
farmers who end up benefiting more
from the government sops.
Farmers' show of protests
If Kumaraswamy ,like other
politicians, really believed that loan
waivers would ease the debt ridden
farmers' plight, even as the number
of suicides in Karnataka at 3500 over
the last few years mounted , he
could not have been more wrong.
In fact, a recent visit by Power
Politics to the sugar belt of Mysuru
and Mandya was an eye opener.
Several farmers , as we discovered ,
did not take loans for agricultural
purposes but more to meet their
basic needs -----of marrying their
daughters or meeting related
exigencies, including building of
houses; even for buying consumer
goods.
Importantly, the average farmer
relied more on the neighbourhood
money lender who was only too
happy to oblige but at high interest
rates. And these Shylocks definitely
took their pound of flesh when the
farmers failed to repay the loans
which, in some cases, were also
spent on gambling.
Local politicians narrated horrible
stories of how some farmers had
committed suicide ,unable to bear
the embarrassment and humiliation
from the money lenders who would
come and shout outside the
defaulters' premises. In many cases,
they would be ruthless , even asking
the already embarrassed farmers to
leave their female relatives in their
custody to make good the default.
The farmers' difficulties
heightened further when the sugar
mills, owned largely by politicians of
different parties, decided to shut
their factories for maintenance, just
when the crop was ready for
harvesting. The worse was that
despite tall claims and assurances
by successive governments that
they would bring the errant mills to
book, no action was taken. What is
more, the mill owners even cocked a snook at the governments
concerned by refusing to pay the
rates ,per quintal, fixed by the
government.
M.S. Swaminathan with Chief
Minister H.D. Kumaraswamy in
Bengaluru
There were a large number of
farmers as well who had taken loans
from cooperatives and nationalised
banks for their crops but found it
difficult to repay . There were
instances when inclement weather
destroyed their standing crops .Or ,a
glut like situation saw them dumping
their products onto the roads even
as government agencies responsible
for purchasing their produce failed
to provide the needed support.
Predictably, the governments of
the day did little to help the
distraught farmers other than
twiddling their thumbs, as it were.
Under the circumstances, it was no
surprise to learn that such farmers
did not ever benefit from the
successive governments' loan
waivers . Besides , they had also
taken loans from the local money
lenders and not the public sector
banks or the cooperatives alone.
Eminent agriculture
scientist M.S.
Swaminathan was
clear in asserting that
while loan waivers may
prove useful as short
term measures, they
could not be the
panacea for the
farmers' ills.
Bad economics
This is not all. It is common
knowledge that loan waivers are not
the solution for mitigating the crisis
faced by the farmers. Among the
many options that often prop up are
investment support schemes to
discourage the farmers from going to
private parties for loans, something
which Telengana appears to have
done recently in addition to waiving
farm loans .
Secondly, it is imperative for the
governments to help bring about
structural solutions to Indian
farming instead of providing quick
fix solutions like loan waivers.
Farmers also need to be encouraged
and motivated to adopt modern
methods ,use sprinklers besides
helping them to tap horticulture and
cash crops as well. Unfortunately,
the resurgence of the loan waiver
culture does not indicate any serious
attempt to find long term solutions
to farmers' woes as politics becomes
the main criteria. Importantly,as economists have often pointed out
loan waivers can also lead to
strategic defaults as borrowers'
expectations of future benefits from
the governments grow.
Consequently, it did not come as
a surprise when the father of India's
Green Revolution, Dr Swaminathan,
did not mince words during his
recent visit to the Vidhan Soudha at
the invitation of chief minister,
Kumaraswamy. It is doubtful
though if the ruling political class
found his plain truths palatable.
The eminent agriculture scientist
was clear in asserting that while loan
waivers may prove useful as short
term measures, they could not be
the panacea for the farmers' ills."
According to him, the state's loan
waiver, perhaps, may have been a
short term requirement as the
farmers had found it difficult to
repay their debts .Consequently,
they could not get fresh credit. He
subsequently told a local newspaper,
" this kind of step may be necessary
once to launch the farmers again
into agriculture. However, it should
not become a permanent method of
farm economy management. What it
really shows is that the economics of
farming is not good. If it was good
,the farmers would repay their
loans." It was no surprise to see him
reiterate that it was imperative to
examine measures that would
increase farmers' income.
For the record,the number of
farmers in Karnataka, who had taken
crop loans from the nationalised
and private sector banks,
cooperatives and regional rural
banks stood at 44.89 lakh with their
outstandings coming to Rs 53,000
crore.
Significantly, of the total about 17
lakh farmers had a debt exceeding
Rs 30 ,000 crore. Another 27 lakh
farmers managed to clear about Rs
7000 crore worth of loans. These
farmers would also benefit from the
government waiver under which
those who had repaid their loans
partially too would become
beneficiaries.